Game Information
| Week | Week 5 |
| Date | Saturday, October 3, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | UB Stadium, Buffalo, NY |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 127 | CMCH | -9.5 | 53.5 | -327 |
| 128 | BUFF | +9.5 | +287 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Mich | Power Ratings | Central Mich 88% odds to win | |
| Central Mich | Similar Games | Central Mich 74% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CMCH -9.0 | Power Ratings | Central Mich wins by 18.1 | |
| BUFF +9.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Buffalo 55% odds to cover | |
| CMCH -9.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Central Mich wins by 9.7 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 54.0 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go under 54.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CMCH -325 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 12% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | CMCH | adv | BUFF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 32.8 | 22.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.452 | 0.320 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +12.5 | -3.0 | |
| Yards/Game | 431.9 | 396.1 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.9 | 5.6 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 50.474% | 48.765% | |
| SOS PR | 20.1 | 15.3 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | CMCH | adv | BUFF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 20.4 | 25.6 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.292 | 0.375 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 360.2 | 354.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.2 | 5.2 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.5 | 1.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.3 | -0.7 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 51.8 | 53.5 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | CMCH | adv | BUFF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-2 | 5-7 | |
| vs Conference | 9-0 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | W5 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 9-1 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 4-0 | 1-4 | |
| Away | 7-2 | 3-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | CMCH | adv | BUFF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-3-1 | 4-6-1 | |
| vs Conference | 7-2-0 | 3-4-1 | |
| Streak | P1 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-1-1 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 6-3-1 | 3-6-1 | |
| Home | 4-0-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-1 | 3-2-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||