Game Information
| Week | Week 10 |
| Date | Saturday, November 7, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Orange Bowl, Miami, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 377 | UVA | +14.5 | 44.0 | +498 |
| 378 | MIFL | -14.5 | -600 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami (FL) | Power Ratings | Miami (FL) 76% odds to win | |
| Miami (FL) | Similar Games | Miami (FL) 74% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVA +14.0 | Power Ratings | Virginia loses by 9.7 | |
| UVA +14.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Virginia 62% odds to cover | |
| UVA +14.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Virginia loses by 8.4 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 44.5 | Similar Games | 58% odds to go under 44.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVA +472 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 7% different from model | |
| UVA +472 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 9% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | UVA | adv | MIFL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 19.8 | 28.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.295 | 0.409 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -6.5 | +6.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 269.7 | 394.1 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.0 | 5.6 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 45.803% | 50.710% | |
| SOS PR | 30.8 | 32.8 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | UVA | adv | MIFL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 26.4 | 22.7 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.366 | 0.344 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 362.9 | 335.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.1 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.5 | +0.1 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 53.1 | 56.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | UVA | adv | MIFL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-9 | 9-3 | |
| vs Conference | 2-6 | 5-3 | |
| Streak | L6 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 1-5 | 4-1 | |
| Away | 2-3 | 4-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | UVA | adv | MIFL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-5-0 | 6-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 4-1-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||