Game Information
| Week | Week 3 |
| Date | Saturday, September 19, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Roberts Stadium, Hattiesburg, MS |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | UVA | +13.5 | 46.5 | +423 |
| 134 | USM | -13.5 | -499 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia | Power Ratings | Virginia -- odds to win | |
| S Mississippi | Similar Games | S Mississippi -- odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVA +13.5 | Power Ratings | Virginia wins by -- | |
| USM -13.5 | Similar Games - Odds | S Mississippi -- odds to cover | |
| USM -13.5 | Similar Games - Pts | S Mississippi wins by -- |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 46.5 | Similar Games | -- odds to go under 46.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVA +423 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is -- different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | UVA | adv | USM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 19.8 | 31.3 | |
| Points/Play | 0.295 | 0.452 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -6.5 | +3.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 269.7 | 401.1 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.0 | 5.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 45.803% | 47.578% | |
| SOS PR | 30.8 | 23.6 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | UVA | adv | USM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 26.4 | 28.0 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.366 | 0.362 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 362.9 | 410.9 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.3 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 2.0 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.5 | +0.7 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 53.1 | 67.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | UVA | adv | USM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-9 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 2-6 | 5-3 | |
| Streak | L6 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 1-5 | 5-0 | |
| Away | 2-3 | 1-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | UVA | adv | USM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-5-0 | 6-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 4-1-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||