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Louisville at Kentucky: Point Spread Line Movement

Saturday Sep 17, 2011 7:00 pm - Lexington, KY
Odds: Kentucky by 5, Total Points: 40.5

More Games From Week 3
UK -5.0 Open -7.0 High -7.0
Last -4.5 Low -4.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2006-2007 college football season there have been 235 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Kentucky won the game 141 times (60.0%)
  • The team like Louisville won the game 94 times (40.0%)
  • The team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 120-113-2 (51.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.0 points

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2008-2009 college football season there have been 168 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 96-70-2 (57.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.1 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -4.5 -4.5 --
Open -7.0 -7.0 --
History
09/17 04:24 PM -- -4.5 --
09/17 02:04 PM -- -5.0 --
09/16 11:36 PM -4.5 -- --
09/15 11:24 AM -- -5.5 --
09/14 01:14 PM -- -6.0 --
09/14 01:06 PM -4.5 -- --
09/14 11:16 AM -6.0 -- --
09/13 12:36 PM -6.0 -- --
09/13 08:16 AM -6.0 -- --
09/13 05:26 AM -6.5 -- --
09/12 01:54 PM -- -6.5 --
09/12 01:46 PM -6.5 -- --
09/12 11:36 AM -6.5 -- --
09/12 09:26 AM -6.5 -- --
09/11 09:34 PM -- -7.0 --
09/11 08:36 PM -7.0 -- --
09/11 07:36 PM -7.0 -- --