Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Saturday, September 26, 2009 |
| Time | 7:30 PM |
| Location | Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, UT |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 371 | LOU | +14.0 | 52.5 | +457 |
| 372 | UTAH | -14.0 | -544 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utah | Power Ratings | Utah 64% odds to win | |
| Utah | Similar Games | Utah 81% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOU +14.0 | Power Ratings | Louisville loses by 4.2 | |
| LOU +14.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Louisville 53% odds to cover | |
| LOU +14.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Louisville loses by 11.9 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 52.5 | Similar Games | 54% odds to go under 52.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOU +461 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 18% different from model | |
| LOU +461 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | LOU | adv | UTAH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 17.0 | 29.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.246 | 0.426 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -10.7 | +9.6 | |
| Yards/Game | 326.4 | 389.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.7 | 5.6 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.578% | 51.090% | |
| SOS PR | 27.0 | 29.8 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | LOU | adv | UTAH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 27.7 | 20.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.414 | 0.290 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 395.6 | 313.8 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.9 | 4.5 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.2 | 1.9 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.5 | +0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 51.2 | 69.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | LOU | adv | UTAH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8 | 9-3 | |
| vs Conference | 1-6 | 6-2 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 3-2 | 6-0 | |
| Away | 0-6 | 4-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | LOU | adv | UTAH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-6-0 | 6-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 2-5-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 2-3-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||