Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Saturday, September 26, 2009 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Location | Jordan Hare Stadium, Auburn, AL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 345 | BALL | +30.5 | 54.5 | +4000 |
| 346 | AUB | -30.5 | -8000 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Auburn | Power Ratings | Auburn 100% odds to win | |
| Auburn | Similar Games | Auburn 99% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| AUB -31.5 | Power Ratings | Auburn wins by 41.2 | |
| AUB -31.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Auburn 55% odds to cover | |
| AUB -31.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Auburn wins by 32.6 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 56.5 | Similar Games | 53% odds to go under 56.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| AUB -8000 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 1% different from model | |
| AUB -8000 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 0% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | BALL | adv | AUB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 19.5 | 30.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.300 | 0.428 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -9.2 | +3.6 | |
| Yards/Game | 309.1 | 413.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.8 | 5.7 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.008% | 46.326% | |
| SOS PR | 14.6 | 35.2 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | BALL | adv | AUB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 28.6 | 27.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.411 | 0.359 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 392.5 | 383.1 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.6 | 5.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 1.9 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.4 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 43.0 | 66.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | BALL | adv | AUB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 2-10 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 2-6 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 0-5 | 5-2 | |
| Away | 2-4 | 2-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | BALL | adv | AUB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-5-0 | 6-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 1-4-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| Away | 5-1-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||