IMPORTANT: Due to prediction logic refinements we are making, Week 5 college football predictions are likely to change by mid-week.

Louisville at N Carolina

  Saturday Oct 8, 2011 - 12:00 pm - Chapel Hill, NC | Odds: North Carolina by 14, Total Points: 46 | Team Pages: LOU | UNC

Scoring & Yardage

Split Season Last 3 Games Away vs. Home
Stat LOU adv UNC LOU adv UNC LOU adv UNC
Avg Score Margin +15.7 -12.5 +15.7 -12.5 +14.5 +4.0
Points/Game 28.7 36.0 28.7 36.0 27.5 31.0
Opp Points/Game 13.0 48.5 13.0 48.5 13.0 27.0
First Downs/Game 18.0 21.5 18.0 21.5 16.5 20.0
Yards/Game 318.0 416.5 318.0 416.5 309.0 394.0
Opp Yards/Game 244.7 649.0 244.7 649.0 245.0 509.0

Offensive Efficiency

Split Season Last 3 Games Away vs. Home
Stat LOU adv UNC LOU adv UNC LOU adv UNC
Plays/Game 74.3 73.5 74.3 73.5 74.0 64.0
Rush Play % 47.09% 48.98% 47.09% 48.98% 41.89% 51.56%
Pass Play % 52.91% 51.02% 52.91% 51.02% 58.11% 48.44%
Yards/Play 4.3 5.7 4.3 5.7 4.2 6.2
Yards/Rush 2.1 3.8 2.1 3.8 1.5 4.0
Yards/Pass 6.9 7.5 6.9 7.5 6.7 8.5
Points/Play 0.386 0.490 0.386 0.490 0.372 0.484
3D Conversion % 34.78% 35.48% 34.78% 35.48% 29.03% 38.46%
RZ Scoring % 90.91% 87.50% 90.91% 87.50% 85.71% 66.67%

Defensive Efficiency

Split Season Last 3 Games Away vs. Home
Stat LOU adv UNC LOU adv UNC LOU adv UNC
Opp Plays/Game 67.3 87.0 67.3 87.0 72.0 75.0
Opp Rush Play % 52.97% 46.55% 52.97% 46.55% 55.56% 46.67%
Opp Pass Play % 47.03% 53.45% 47.03% 53.45% 44.44% 53.33%
Opp Yards/Play 3.6 7.5 3.6 7.5 3.4 6.8
Opp Yards/Rush 2.5 6.3 2.5 6.3 2.5 4.8
Opp Yards/Pass 5.4 8.7 5.4 8.7 5.1 8.7
Opp Points/Play 0.193 0.557 0.193 0.557 0.181 0.360
Opp 3D Conv % 21.28% 58.06% 21.28% 58.06% 26.47% 42.86%
Opp RZ Scoring % 63.64% 70.00% 63.64% 70.00% 66.67% 50.00%

Turnovers, Penalties & TOP

Split Season Last 3 Games Away vs. Home
Stat LOU adv UNC LOU adv UNC LOU adv UNC
TO Margin/Game +0.3 +1.0 +0.3 +1.0 -- +2.0
Opp Int Thrown % 7.06% 4.44% 7.06% 4.44% 7.14% 7.69%
Fumble Rec % 27.27% 66.67% 27.27% 66.67% 25.00% 100.00%
Penalties/Game 7.0 6.5 7.0 6.5 7.0 5.0
Opp Penalties/Game 6.7 9.0 6.7 9.0 6.5 9.0
TOP % (net OT) 50.21% 39.65% 50.21% 39.65% 47.58% 37.61%