Game Information
| Week | Week 8 |
| Date | Saturday, October 24, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Rynearson Stadium, Ypsilanti, MI |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 333 | BALL | -2.5 | 43.5 | -137 |
| 334 | EMCH | +2.5 | +124 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State | Power Ratings | Ball State 62% odds to win | |
| Ball State | Similar Games | Ball State 51% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BALL -2.5 | Power Ratings | Ball State wins by 3.8 | |
| EMCH +2.5 | Similar Games - Odds | E Michigan 57% odds to cover | |
| EMCH +2.5 | Similar Games - Pts | E Michigan loses by 0.7 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 44.5 | Similar Games | 56% odds to go over 44.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BALL -126 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 7% different from model | |
| EMCH +114 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | BALL | adv | EMCH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 19.5 | 16.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.300 | 0.254 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -9.2 | -21.8 | |
| Yards/Game | 309.1 | 278.3 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.8 | 4.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.008% | 51.301% | |
| SOS PR | 14.6 | 13.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | BALL | adv | EMCH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 28.6 | 38.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.411 | 0.600 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 392.5 | 426.8 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.6 | 6.7 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 1.9 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.4 | -0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 43.0 | 50.8 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | BALL | adv | EMCH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 2-10 | 0-12 | |
| vs Conference | 2-6 | 0-8 | |
| Streak | W1 | L12 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 0-10 | |
| Home | 0-5 | 0-5 | |
| Away | 2-4 | 0-7 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | BALL | adv | EMCH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-5-0 | 4-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 2-6-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 1-4-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Away | 5-1-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||