Game Information
| Week | Week 13 |
| Date | Tuesday, November 24, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Waldo Stadium, Kalamazoo, MI |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | BALL | +10.0 | 54.0 | +321 |
| 102 | WMCH | -10.0 | -369 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| W Michigan | Power Ratings | W Michigan 75% odds to win | |
| W Michigan | Similar Games | W Michigan 75% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BALL +11.0 | Power Ratings | Ball State loses by 9.0 | |
| WMCH -11.0 | Similar Games - Odds | W Michigan 53% odds to cover | |
| BALL +11.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Ball State loses by 10.6 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 53.0 | Similar Games | 56% odds to go over 53.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BALL +377 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 4% different from model | |
| BALL +377 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 4% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | BALL | adv | WMCH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 19.5 | 24.7 | |
| Points/Play | 0.300 | 0.331 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -9.2 | -4.4 | |
| Yards/Game | 309.1 | 377.3 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.8 | 5.1 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.008% | 54.152% | |
| SOS PR | 14.6 | 12.4 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | BALL | adv | WMCH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 28.6 | 29.1 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.411 | 0.402 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 392.5 | 427.9 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.6 | 5.9 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.4 | -0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 43.0 | 41.5 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | BALL | adv | WMCH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 2-10 | 5-7 | |
| vs Conference | 2-6 | 4-4 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 0-5 | 2-2 | |
| Away | 2-4 | 2-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | BALL | adv | WMCH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-5-0 | 3-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 1-4-0 | 1-3-0 | |
| Away | 5-1-0 | 2-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||