Game Information
| Week | Week 8 |
| Date | Saturday, October 24, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati, OH |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 375 | LOU | +16.0 | 55.0 | +520 |
| 376 | CIN | -16.0 | -630 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | Power Ratings | Cincinnati 98% odds to win | |
| Cincinnati | Similar Games | Cincinnati 90% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN -16.5 | Power Ratings | Cincinnati wins by 30.8 | |
| LOU +16.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Louisville 56% odds to cover | |
| CIN -16.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Cincinnati wins by 18.5 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 55.0 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go over 55.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN -725 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 10% different from model | |
| CIN -725 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | LOU | adv | CIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 17.0 | 36.0 | |
| Points/Play | 0.246 | 0.561 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -10.7 | +11.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 326.4 | 436.6 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.7 | 6.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.578% | 42.311% | |
| SOS PR | 27.0 | 34.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | LOU | adv | CIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 27.7 | 24.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.414 | 0.326 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 395.6 | 390.5 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.9 | 5.1 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.2 | 1.2 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.5 | +0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 51.2 | 45.8 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | LOU | adv | CIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8 | 12-0 | |
| vs Conference | 1-6 | 7-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 9-1 | |
| Home | 3-2 | 5-0 | |
| Away | 0-6 | 6-1 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | LOU | adv | CIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-6-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 2-5-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L5 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 0-5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||