Game Information
| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Wednesday, November 18, 2009 |
| Time | 6:00 PM |
| Location | Fred Yager Stadium, Oxford, OH |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 303 | BUFF | -4.5 | 52.5 | -192 |
| 304 | MIOH | +4.5 | +173 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | Power Ratings | Buffalo 57% odds to win | |
| Buffalo | Similar Games | Buffalo 57% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIOH +4.5 | Power Ratings | Miami (OH) loses by 2.1 | |
| BUFF -4.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Buffalo 55% odds to cover | |
| MIOH +4.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Miami (OH) loses by 2.8 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 52.5 | Similar Games | 51% odds to go over 52.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIOH +167 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 5% different from model | |
| MIOH +167 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 5% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | BUFF | adv | MIOH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.6 | 15.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.320 | 0.198 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -3.0 | -18.6 | |
| Yards/Game | 396.1 | 343.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.6 | 4.4 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.765% | 52.684% | |
| SOS PR | 15.3 | 16.7 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | BUFF | adv | MIOH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 25.6 | 34.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.375 | 0.519 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 354.3 | 377.9 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.2 | 5.7 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.5 | 1.0 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.7 | -2.0 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 53.5 | 50.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | BUFF | adv | MIOH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7 | 1-11 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5 | 1-7 | |
| Streak | W2 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 1-9 | |
| Home | 1-4 | 1-4 | |
| Away | 3-3 | 0-7 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | BUFF | adv | MIOH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-6-1 | 5-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-4-1 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | P1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-6-1 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 3-2-1 | 2-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||