Game Information
| Week | Week 8 |
| Date | Saturday, October 24, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 325 | USF | +6.5 | 48.0 | +214 |
| 326 | PITT | -6.5 | -240 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh | Power Ratings | Pittsburgh 51% odds to win | |
| Pittsburgh | Similar Games | Pittsburgh 59% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| USF +6.5 | Power Ratings | S Florida loses by 0.3 | |
| USF +6.5 | Similar Games - Odds | S Florida 52% odds to cover | |
| USF +6.5 | Similar Games - Pts | S Florida loses by 4.4 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 48.0 | Similar Games | 50% odds to go under 48.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| USF +219 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 18% different from model | |
| USF +219 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 10% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | USF | adv | PITT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.3 | 31.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.345 | 0.489 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -0.5 | +10.4 | |
| Yards/Game | 349.7 | 391.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.4 | 6.1 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.492% | 52.115% | |
| SOS PR | 28.1 | 31.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | USF | adv | PITT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 22.7 | 21.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.333 | 0.309 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 344.0 | 332.7 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.0 | 4.9 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.2 | +0.8 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 56.3 | 50.9 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | USF | adv | PITT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 9-3 | |
| vs Conference | 3-4 | 5-2 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 2-2 | 5-1 | |
| Away | 4-3 | 4-2 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | USF | adv | PITT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-6-0 | 8-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-4-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 1-3-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||