Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Saturday, September 26, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 313 | BUFF | +3.5 | 45.5 | +148 |
| 314 | TEM | -3.5 | -164 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | Power Ratings | Buffalo 76% odds to win | |
| Temple | Similar Games | Temple 53% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF +3.5 | Power Ratings | Buffalo wins by 9.9 | |
| BUFF +3.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Buffalo 51% odds to cover | |
| BUFF +3.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Buffalo loses by 1.7 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 45.5 | Similar Games | 62% odds to go over 45.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF +152 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 37% different from model | |
| BUFF +152 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 7% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | BUFF | adv | TEM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.6 | 30.0 | |
| Points/Play | 0.320 | 0.453 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -3.0 | +8.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 396.1 | 323.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.6 | 4.9 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.765% | 51.756% | |
| SOS PR | 15.3 | 17.8 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | BUFF | adv | TEM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 25.6 | 21.9 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.375 | 0.324 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 354.3 | 332.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.2 | 4.9 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.5 | 2.2 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.7 | +0.7 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 53.5 | 41.7 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | BUFF | adv | TEM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7 | 9-3 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5 | 7-1 | |
| Streak | W2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 1-4 | 5-0 | |
| Away | 3-3 | 4-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | BUFF | adv | TEM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-6-1 | 8-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-4-1 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | P1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-6-1 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 3-2-1 | 5-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||