Game Information
| Week | Week 5 |
| Date | Saturday, October 3, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Carrier Dome, Syracuse, NY |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | USF | -7.5 | 47.0 | -280 |
| 112 | SYR | +7.5 | +248 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| S Florida | Power Ratings | S Florida 100% odds to win | |
| S Florida | Similar Games | S Florida 78% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| USF -6.5 | Power Ratings | S Florida wins by 44.4 | |
| USF -6.5 | Similar Games - Odds | S Florida 53% odds to cover | |
| USF -6.5 | Similar Games - Pts | S Florida wins by 13.2 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 47.0 | Similar Games | 57% odds to go over 47.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| USF -245 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 29% different from model | |
| USF -245 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 7% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | USF | adv | SYR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.3 | 19.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.345 | 0.287 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -0.5 | -8.9 | |
| Yards/Game | 349.7 | 325.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.4 | 4.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.492% | 52.303% | |
| SOS PR | 28.1 | 28.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | USF | adv | SYR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 22.7 | 28.3 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.333 | 0.436 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 344.0 | 328.5 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.1 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.2 | -0.6 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 56.3 | 46.5 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | USF | adv | SYR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 4-8 | |
| vs Conference | 3-4 | 1-6 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 2-2 | 3-4 | |
| Away | 4-3 | 0-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | USF | adv | SYR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-6-0 | 6-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-4-0 | 2-5-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 1-3-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 2-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||