Game Information
| Week | Week 14 |
| Date | Saturday, December 5, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | Rentschler, East Hartford, CT |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 309 | USF | +7.5 | 47.0 | +239 |
| 310 | CONN | -7.5 | -270 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut | Power Ratings | Connecticut 76% odds to win | |
| Connecticut | Similar Games | Connecticut 80% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CONN -7.0 | Power Ratings | Connecticut wins by 9.8 | |
| CONN -7.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Connecticut 64% odds to cover | |
| CONN -7.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Connecticut wins by 12.3 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 49.5 | Similar Games | 60% odds to go under 49.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CONN -275 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 3% different from model | |
| CONN -275 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 7% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | USF | adv | CONN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.3 | 29.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.345 | 0.416 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -0.5 | +4.7 | |
| Yards/Game | 349.7 | 378.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.4 | 5.4 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.492% | 48.970% | |
| SOS PR | 28.1 | 30.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | USF | adv | CONN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 22.7 | 24.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.333 | 0.355 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 344.0 | 387.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.6 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.2 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 56.3 | 30.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | USF | adv | CONN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 3-4 | 3-4 | |
| Streak | W1 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 2-2 | 3-2 | |
| Away | 4-3 | 4-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | USF | adv | CONN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-6-0 | 10-2-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-4-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 8-2-0 | |
| Home | 1-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 7-0-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||