Game Information
| Week | Week 8 |
| Date | Saturday, October 24, 2009 |
| Time | 2:00 PM |
| Location | Waldo Stadium, Kalamazoo, MI |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 341 | BUFF | +5.5 | 51.5 | +191 |
| 342 | WMCH | -5.5 | -213 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| W Michigan | Power Ratings | W Michigan 79% odds to win | |
| W Michigan | Similar Games | W Michigan 73% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| WMCH -5.0 | Power Ratings | W Michigan wins by 11.5 | |
| WMCH -5.0 | Similar Games - Odds | W Michigan 55% odds to cover | |
| WMCH -5.0 | Similar Games - Pts | W Michigan wins by 7.0 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 50.5 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go under 50.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| WMCH -220 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 10% different from model | |
| WMCH -220 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 4% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | BUFF | adv | WMCH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.6 | 24.7 | |
| Points/Play | 0.320 | 0.331 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -3.0 | -4.4 | |
| Yards/Game | 396.1 | 377.3 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.6 | 5.1 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.765% | 54.152% | |
| SOS PR | 15.3 | 12.4 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | BUFF | adv | WMCH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 25.6 | 29.1 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.375 | 0.402 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 354.3 | 427.9 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.2 | 5.9 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.5 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.7 | -0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 53.5 | 41.5 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | BUFF | adv | WMCH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7 | 5-7 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5 | 4-4 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 1-4 | 2-2 | |
| Away | 3-3 | 2-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | BUFF | adv | WMCH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-6-1 | 3-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-4-1 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | P1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-6-1 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 1-4-0 | 1-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-2-1 | 2-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||