Game Information
| Week | Week 9 |
| Date | Saturday, October 31, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Commonwealth Stadium, Lexington, KY |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 177 | MSST | +3.5 | 47.0 | +154 |
| 178 | KENT | -3.5 | -171 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky | Power Ratings | Kentucky 67% odds to win | |
| Kentucky | Similar Games | Kentucky 58% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| KENT -3.5 | Power Ratings | Kentucky wins by 5.4 | |
| MSST +3.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Miss State 56% odds to cover | |
| KENT -3.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Kentucky wins by 4.1 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 47.0 | Similar Games | 53% odds to go over 47.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| KENT -177 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 3% different from model | |
| MSST +159 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 3% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MSST | adv | KENT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 23.8 | 25.2 | |
| Points/Play | 0.340 | 0.372 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -4.7 | +1.6 | |
| Yards/Game | 368.5 | 322.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.3 | 4.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.031% | 50.181% | |
| SOS PR | 36.6 | 32.4 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MSST | adv | KENT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 28.5 | 23.6 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.427 | 0.355 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 381.6 | 368.5 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.7 | 5.5 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.7 | 0.0 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 39.8 | 40.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MSST | adv | KENT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | W1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 1-5 | 2-4 | |
| Away | 3-2 | 4-2 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MSST | adv | KENT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-5-0 | 6-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 1-5-0 | |
| Away | 3-2-0 | 5-1-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||