Game Information
| Week | Week 6 |
| Date | Saturday, October 10, 2009 |
| Time | 11:00 PM |
| Location | Aloha Stadium, Honolulu, HI |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 395 | FRES | -10.5 | 59.5 | -380 |
| 396 | HAW | +10.5 | +330 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno St | Power Ratings | Fresno St 88% odds to win | |
| Fresno St | Similar Games | Fresno St 73% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| FRES -10.5 | Power Ratings | Fresno St wins by 17.9 | |
| HAW +10.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Hawaii 55% odds to cover | |
| HAW +10.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Hawaii loses by 7.5 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 59.5 | Similar Games | 59% odds to go under 59.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| FRES -380 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 9% different from model | |
| HAW +330 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 4% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | FRES | adv | HAW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 32.4 | 22.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.468 | 0.326 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +1.7 | -7.7 | |
| Yards/Game | 423.8 | 439.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.1 | 6.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.676% | 48.640% | |
| SOS PR | 22.0 | 20.5 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | FRES | adv | HAW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 30.8 | 30.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.474 | 0.443 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 428.9 | 415.7 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.6 | 6.1 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.2 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.8 | -0.7 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 39.2 | 53.9 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | FRES | adv | HAW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4 | 6-7 | |
| vs Conference | 6-2 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 3-1 | 3-3 | |
| Away | 4-4 | 2-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | FRES | adv | HAW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5-0 | 6-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 1-3-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| Away | 6-2-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||