Game Information
| Week | Week 10 |
| Date | Saturday, November 7, 2009 |
| Time | 10:30 PM |
| Location | Kibbie Activity Center, Moscow, ID |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 363 | FRES | -9.0 | 66.5 | -330 |
| 364 | IDHO | +9.0 | +289 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno St | Power Ratings | Fresno St 72% odds to win | |
| Fresno St | Similar Games | Fresno St 67% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDHO +9.5 | Power Ratings | Idaho loses by 7.8 | |
| IDHO +9.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Idaho 59% odds to cover | |
| IDHO +9.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Idaho loses by 6.2 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 66.5 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go over 66.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDHO +289 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 2% different from model | |
| IDHO +289 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 7% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | FRES | adv | IDHO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 32.4 | 32.7 | |
| Points/Play | 0.468 | 0.485 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +1.7 | -3.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 423.8 | 451.0 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.1 | 6.7 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.676% | 51.259% | |
| SOS PR | 22.0 | 19.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | FRES | adv | IDHO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 30.8 | 36.0 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.474 | 0.531 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 428.9 | 433.5 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.6 | 6.4 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.2 | 1.2 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.8 | -0.6 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 39.2 | 63.8 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | FRES | adv | IDHO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 6-2 | 4-4 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 3-1 | 4-2 | |
| Away | 4-4 | 4-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | FRES | adv | IDHO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5-0 | 7-5-1 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 0-4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 1-3-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 6-2-0 | 4-2-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||