IMPORTANT: Due to prediction logic refinements we are making, Week 5 college football predictions are likely to change by mid-week.

Miss State vs. Arkansas

  Saturday Nov 19, 2011 - 3:30 pm - Little Rock, AR (Neutral Site) | Odds: Arkansas by 13.5, Total Points: 54 | Team Pages: MSST | ARK

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Arkansas MSST 10.3%
ARK 89.7%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MSST +13.5 MSST 51.0%
ARK 49.0%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 52.0 Over 47.2%
Under 52.8%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
ARK -485 MSST -9.2%
ARK +6.8%
Final Score Projection Likely Score Vegas Implied Actual
MSST 16.5 -- 19.2 17
ARK 35.1 -- 32.8 44

Offensive Stat Comparison

MSST ARK
Yards/Play 5.5 6.8
Points/Play 0.384 0.505
Rush Play % 67.33% 45.77%
Pass Play % 32.67% 54.23%
Completion % 57.75% 63.91%
3D Conv % 44.86% 40.13%
RZ Scoring % 80.95% 88.37%

Defensive Stat Comparison

MSST ARK
Opp Yards/Play 5.2 5.3
Opp Points/Play 0.289 0.364
Opp Completion % 58.23% 55.38%
Opp 3D Conv % 34.71% 34.12%
Opp RZ Scoring % 75.68% 84.62%