Game Information
| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Saturday, November 21, 2009 |
| Time | 12:20 PM |
| Location | Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 347 | MSST | +11.5 | 57.0 | +377 |
| 348 | ARK | -11.5 | -440 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas | Power Ratings | Arkansas 74% odds to win | |
| Arkansas | Similar Games | Arkansas 77% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSST +11.5 | Power Ratings | Miss State loses by 8.6 | |
| ARK -11.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Arkansas 54% odds to cover | |
| ARK -11.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Arkansas wins by 12.2 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 57.0 | Similar Games | 53% odds to go under 57.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSST +377 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 5% different from model | |
| MSST +377 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MSST | adv | ARK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 23.8 | 35.0 | |
| Points/Play | 0.340 | 0.535 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -4.7 | +8.7 | |
| Yards/Game | 368.5 | 413.7 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.3 | 6.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.031% | 49.585% | |
| SOS PR | 36.6 | 34.9 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MSST | adv | ARK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 28.5 | 26.3 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.427 | 0.378 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 381.6 | 417.5 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.7 | 6.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 2.3 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.7 | +1.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 39.8 | 51.6 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MSST | adv | ARK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 1-5 | 4-1 | |
| Away | 3-2 | 3-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MSST | adv | ARK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-5-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 3-2-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||