Game Information
| Week | Week 14 |
| Date | Saturday, December 5, 2009 |
| Time | 12:30 PM |
| Location | Memorial U. Illinios, Champaign, IL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 313 | FRES | +2.0 | 59.0 | +111 |
| 314 | ILL | -2.0 | -122 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno St | Power Ratings | Fresno St 59% odds to win | |
| Fresno St | Similar Games | Fresno St 56% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| FRES +2.0 | Power Ratings | Fresno St wins by 2.6 | |
| FRES +2.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Fresno St 51% odds to cover | |
| FRES +2.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Fresno St wins by 2.9 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 58.0 | Similar Games | 54% odds to go under 58.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| FRES +111 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 11% different from model | |
| FRES +111 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 8% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | FRES | adv | ILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 32.4 | 22.3 | |
| Points/Play | 0.468 | 0.309 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +1.7 | -9.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 423.8 | 379.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.1 | 5.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.676% | 49.980% | |
| SOS PR | 22.0 | 26.7 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | FRES | adv | ILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 30.8 | 31.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.474 | 0.456 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 428.9 | 403.7 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.6 | 5.9 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.2 | 1.2 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.8 | -0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 39.2 | 56.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | FRES | adv | ILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4 | 3-9 | |
| vs Conference | 6-2 | 2-6 | |
| Streak | L1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 2-8 | |
| Home | 3-1 | 1-4 | |
| Away | 4-4 | 1-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | FRES | adv | ILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5-0 | 4-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 1-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Away | 6-2-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||