Game Information
| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Saturday, November 21, 2009 |
| Time | 5:00 PM |
| Location | Bulldog Stadium, Fresno, CA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 375 | LTEC | +9.5 | 54.5 | +322 |
| 376 | FRES | -9.5 | -370 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno St | Power Ratings | Fresno St 63% odds to win | |
| Fresno St | Similar Games | Fresno St 60% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| LTEC +8.5 | Power Ratings | LA Tech loses by 4.0 | |
| LTEC +8.5 | Similar Games - Odds | LA Tech 57% odds to cover | |
| LTEC +8.5 | Similar Games - Pts | LA Tech loses by 4.3 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 55.0 | Similar Games | 65% odds to go under 55.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| LTEC +301 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 12% different from model | |
| LTEC +301 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 15% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | LTEC | adv | FRES |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 27.5 | 32.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.391 | 0.468 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +0.5 | +1.7 | |
| Yards/Game | 355.4 | 423.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.1 | 6.1 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.467% | 53.676% | |
| SOS PR | 23.1 | 22.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | LTEC | adv | FRES |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 26.9 | 30.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.375 | 0.474 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 377.0 | 428.9 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.3 | 6.6 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.5 | 1.2 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.4 | -0.8 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 55.3 | 39.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | LTEC | adv | FRES |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8 | 8-4 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5 | 6-2 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 3-1 | 3-1 | |
| Away | 0-7 | 4-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | LTEC | adv | FRES |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-4-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-2-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | W5 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 4-0-0 | 1-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-4-0 | 6-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||