Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Saturday, September 26, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati, OH |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 327 | FRES | +17.0 | 63.0 | +569 |
| 328 | CIN | -17.0 | -700 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | Power Ratings | Cincinnati 94% odds to win | |
| Cincinnati | Similar Games | Cincinnati 93% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN -17.0 | Power Ratings | Cincinnati wins by 23.5 | |
| CIN -17.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Cincinnati 55% odds to cover | |
| CIN -17.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Cincinnati wins by 17.8 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 63.5 | Similar Games | 61% odds to go under 63.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN -700 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 6% different from model | |
| CIN -700 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 6% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | FRES | adv | CIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 32.4 | 36.0 | |
| Points/Play | 0.468 | 0.561 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +1.7 | +11.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 423.8 | 436.6 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.1 | 6.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.676% | 42.311% | |
| SOS PR | 22.0 | 34.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | FRES | adv | CIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 30.8 | 24.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.474 | 0.326 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 428.9 | 390.5 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.6 | 5.1 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.2 | 1.2 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.8 | +0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 39.2 | 45.8 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | FRES | adv | CIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4 | 12-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-2 | 7-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 9-1 | |
| Home | 3-1 | 5-0 | |
| Away | 4-4 | 6-1 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | FRES | adv | CIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L5 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 0-5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 1-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Away | 6-2-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||