Game Information
| Week | Week 5 |
| Date | Thursday, October 1, 2009 |
| Time | 7:45 PM |
| Location | Mountaineer Field, Morgantown, WV |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103 | COL | +16.5 | 55.0 | +569 |
| 104 | WVIR | -16.5 | -700 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| W Virginia | Power Ratings | W Virginia 94% odds to win | |
| W Virginia | Similar Games | W Virginia 88% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| WVIR -17.0 | Power Ratings | W Virginia wins by 24.1 | |
| WVIR -17.0 | Similar Games - Odds | W Virginia 54% odds to cover | |
| WVIR -17.0 | Similar Games - Pts | W Virginia wins by 17.2 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 55.0 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go under 55.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| WVIR -700 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 7% different from model | |
| WVIR -700 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 0% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | COL | adv | WVIR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.2 | 25.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.299 | 0.377 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -6.6 | +3.8 | |
| Yards/Game | 314.2 | 370.7 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.2 | 5.5 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 50.290% | 50.172% | |
| SOS PR | 26.4 | 31.5 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | COL | adv | WVIR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 28.8 | 21.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.417 | 0.313 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 363.0 | 339.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.2 | 4.9 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.1 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.5 | -0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 75.6 | 42.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | COL | adv | WVIR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-9 | 9-3 | |
| vs Conference | 2-6 | 5-2 | |
| Streak | L3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 3-3 | 6-0 | |
| Away | 0-6 | 2-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | COL | adv | WVIR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||