IMPORTANT: Due to prediction logic refinements we are making, Week 5 college football predictions are likely to change by mid-week.

Ohio State at Michigan

  Saturday Nov 26, 2011 - 12:00 pm - Ann Arbor, MI | Odds: Michigan by 8.5, Total Points: 45.5 | Team Pages: OHST | MICH


MICH -8.5 Open -7.5 High -8.5
Last -7.5 Low -7.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from Pinnacle Sports

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2006-2007 college football season there have been 224 games where the closing line favored the home team by 7.5 to 9.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Michigan won the game 154 times (68.8%)
  • The team like Ohio State won the game 70 times (31.3%)
  • The team like Ohio State did better against the spread, going 115-109 (51.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2008-2009 college football season there have been 484 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Ohio State did better against the spread, going 253-227-4 (52.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.