Game Information
| Week | Week 10 |
| Date | Saturday, November 7, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 359 | OHST | +5.5 | 40.5 | +193 |
| 360 | PSU | -5.5 | -215 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Penn State | Power Ratings | Penn State 67% odds to win | |
| Penn State | Similar Games | Penn State 61% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSU -5.0 | Power Ratings | Penn State wins by 5.4 | |
| OHST +5.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Ohio State 53% odds to cover | |
| PSU -5.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Penn State wins by 7.0 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 41.0 | Similar Games | 56% odds to go over 41.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSU -195 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 1% different from model | |
| OHST +175 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 3% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | OHST | adv | PSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 29.0 | 26.9 | |
| Points/Play | 0.418 | 0.395 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +16.5 | +13.9 | |
| Yards/Game | 369.0 | 394.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.3 | 5.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 52.613% | 55.149% | |
| SOS PR | 31.9 | 32.9 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | OHST | adv | PSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 12.5 | 13.0 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.190 | 0.200 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 262.3 | 280.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.0 | 4.3 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.7 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +1.3 | +0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 43.1 | 32.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | OHST | adv | PSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-2 | 10-2 | |
| vs Conference | 7-1 | 6-2 | |
| Streak | W6 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 9-1 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 6-1 | 5-2 | |
| Away | 5-1 | 5-0 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | OHST | adv | PSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-3-0 | 6-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-2-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 5-2-0 | 1-6-0 | |
| Away | 5-1-0 | 5-0-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||