Game Information
| Week | Week 7 |
| Date | Saturday, October 17, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Ross Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, IN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 113 | OHST | -12.0 | 44.5 | -450 |
| 114 | PURD | +12.0 | +385 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio State | Power Ratings | Ohio State 87% odds to win | |
| Ohio State | Similar Games | Ohio State 82% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| OHST -13.5 | Power Ratings | Ohio State wins by 17.2 | |
| PURD +13.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Purdue 63% odds to cover | |
| PURD +13.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Purdue loses by 9.1 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 45.0 | Similar Games | 66% odds to go under 45.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| OHST -480 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 5% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | OHST | adv | PURD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 29.0 | 27.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.418 | 0.388 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +16.5 | -1.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 369.0 | 391.3 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.3 | 5.5 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 52.613% | 49.250% | |
| SOS PR | 31.9 | 26.8 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | OHST | adv | PURD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 12.5 | 29.1 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.190 | 0.399 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 262.3 | 376.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.0 | 5.2 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.7 | 2.0 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +1.3 | -0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 43.1 | 41.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | OHST | adv | PURD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-2 | 5-7 | |
| vs Conference | 7-1 | 4-4 | |
| Streak | W6 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 9-1 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 6-1 | 3-4 | |
| Away | 5-1 | 2-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | OHST | adv | PURD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-3-0 | 6-5-1 | |
| vs Conference | 6-2-0 | 3-4-1 | |
| Streak | W2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 5-2-0 | 3-3-1 | |
| Away | 5-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||