Game Information
| Week | Week 10 |
| Date | Saturday, November 7, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 311 | WMCH | +20.5 | 56.0 | +865 |
| 312 | MIST | -20.5 | -1200 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan St | Power Ratings | Michigan St 80% odds to win | |
| Michigan St | Similar Games | Michigan St 92% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| WMCH +20.5 | Power Ratings | W Michigan loses by 12.2 | |
| MIST -20.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Michigan St 59% odds to cover | |
| WMCH +20.5 | Similar Games - Pts | W Michigan loses by 18.1 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 56.0 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go under 56.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| WMCH +865 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 9% different from model | |
| MIST -1200 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 0% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | WMCH | adv | MIST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 24.7 | 28.5 | |
| Points/Play | 0.331 | 0.438 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -4.4 | +0.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 377.3 | 399.0 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.1 | 6.1 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 54.152% | 47.826% | |
| SOS PR | 12.4 | 30.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | WMCH | adv | MIST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 29.1 | 28.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.402 | 0.381 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 427.9 | 399.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.9 | 5.4 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 1.2 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.5 | -0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 41.5 | 56.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | WMCH | adv | MIST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7 | 6-6 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4 | 4-4 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 2-2 | 3-3 | |
| Away | 2-5 | 2-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | WMCH | adv | MIST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-8-0 | 4-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 2-5-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 1-3-1 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 3-6-1 | |
| Home | 1-3-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| Away | 2-5-0 | 2-3-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||