Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Saturday, September 26, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Doyt L. Perry Stadium, Bowling Green, OH |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 321 | BSU | -16.5 | 52.0 | -610 |
| 322 | BGRN | +16.5 | +505 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State | Power Ratings | Boise State 89% odds to win | |
| Boise State | Similar Games | Boise State 87% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BSU -16.5 | Power Ratings | Boise State wins by 18.3 | |
| BSU -16.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Boise State 59% odds to cover | |
| BSU -16.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Boise State wins by 17.4 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 52.0 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go under 52.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BSU -650 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 2% different from model | |
| BSU -650 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 0% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | BSU | adv | BGRN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 42.8 | 28.5 | |
| Points/Play | 0.615 | 0.376 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +25.6 | +1.0 | |
| Yards/Game | 455.8 | 404.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.5 | 5.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.333% | 52.385% | |
| SOS PR | 30.7 | 15.7 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | BSU | adv | BGRN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 17.2 | 27.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.263 | 0.406 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 305.3 | 400.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.7 | 5.9 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.7 | 1.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +1.7 | +0.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 56.2 | 49.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | BSU | adv | BGRN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-0 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 8-0 | 6-2 | |
| Streak | W13 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 10-0 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 6-0 | 3-3 | |
| Away | 7-0 | 4-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | BSU | adv | BGRN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-4-0 | 7-5-1 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-0-1 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 5-2-0 | 4-2-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||