Game Information
| Week | Week 3 |
| Date | Friday, September 18, 2009 |
| Time | 9:00 PM |
| Location | Bulldog Stadium, Fresno, CA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103 | BSU | -7.5 | 52.5 | -285 |
| 104 | FRES | +7.5 | +252 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State | Power Ratings | Boise State -- odds to win | |
| Boise State | Similar Games | Boise State -- odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BSU -7.5 | Power Ratings | Boise State wins by -- | |
| BSU -7.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Boise State -- odds to cover | |
| BSU -7.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Boise State wins by -- |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 53.0 | Similar Games | -- odds to go under 53.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BSU -305 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is -- different from model | |
| BSU -305 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is -- different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | BSU | adv | FRES |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 42.8 | 32.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.615 | 0.468 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +25.6 | +1.7 | |
| Yards/Game | 455.8 | 423.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.5 | 6.1 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.333% | 53.676% | |
| SOS PR | 30.7 | 22.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | BSU | adv | FRES |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 17.2 | 30.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.263 | 0.474 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 305.3 | 428.9 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.7 | 6.6 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.7 | 1.2 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +1.7 | -0.8 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 56.2 | 39.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | BSU | adv | FRES |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-0 | 8-4 | |
| vs Conference | 8-0 | 6-2 | |
| Streak | W13 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 10-0 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 6-0 | 3-1 | |
| Away | 7-0 | 4-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | BSU | adv | FRES |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-4-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 1-3-0 | |
| Away | 5-2-0 | 6-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||