Game Information
| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Friday, November 20, 2009 |
| Time | 9:30 PM |
| Location | Romney Stadium, Logan, UT |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 313 | BSU | -22.0 | 62.0 | -1250 |
| 314 | UTST | +22.0 | +915 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State | Power Ratings | Boise State 93% odds to win | |
| Boise State | Similar Games | Boise State 94% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BSU -22.5 | Power Ratings | Boise State wins by 22.5 | |
| UTST +22.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Utah State 53% odds to cover | |
| UTST +22.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Utah State loses by 20.9 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 62.0 | Similar Games | 56% odds to go over 62.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BSU -1275 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 0% different from model | |
| BSU -1275 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | BSU | adv | UTST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 42.8 | 26.9 | |
| Points/Play | 0.615 | 0.353 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +25.6 | -7.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 455.8 | 424.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.5 | 5.6 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.3% | 49.2% | |
| SOS PR | 30.7 | 21.3 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | BSU | adv | UTST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 17.2 | 34.0 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.263 | 0.474 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 305.3 | 463.1 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.7 | 6.5 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.7 | 1.6 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +1.7 | +0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 56.2 | 75.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | BSU | adv | UTST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-0 | 4-8 | |
| vs Conference | 8-0 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | W13 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 10-0 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 6-0 | 2-2 | |
| Away | 7-0 | 1-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | BSU | adv | UTST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-4-0 | 8-3-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 3-1-0 | |
| Away | 5-2-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||