Game Information
| Week | Week 10 |
| Date | Saturday, November 7, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 387 | PURD | +7.0 | 52.5 | +244 |
| 388 | MICH | -7.0 | -275 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Purdue | Power Ratings | Purdue 52% odds to win | |
| Michigan | Similar Games | Michigan 83% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PURD +6.5 | Power Ratings | Purdue wins by 0.4 | |
| MICH -6.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Michigan 71% odds to cover | |
| MICH -6.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Michigan wins by 11.5 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 52.0 | Similar Games | 59% odds to go under 52.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PURD +227 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 21% different from model | |
| MICH -255 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 11% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | PURD | adv | MICH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 27.8 | 26.5 | |
| Points/Play | 0.388 | 0.375 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -1.2 | -3.0 | |
| Yards/Game | 391.3 | 353.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.5 | 5.0 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.250% | 43.513% | |
| SOS PR | 26.8 | 28.6 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | PURD | adv | MICH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 29.1 | 29.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.399 | 0.407 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 376.6 | 409.5 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.2 | 5.7 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.0 | 1.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.4 | -1.0 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 41.2 | 38.5 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | PURD | adv | MICH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7 | 5-7 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4 | 1-7 | |
| Streak | W1 | L7 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 3-4 | 4-3 | |
| Away | 2-3 | 0-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | PURD | adv | MICH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-5-1 | 4-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-4-1 | 1-7-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L5 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 0-5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-1 | 3-4-0 | |
| Away | 3-2-0 | 1-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||