Game Information
| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Saturday, November 21, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Memorial Stadium, Bloomington, IN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 329 | PURD | -3.0 | 59.0 | -142 |
| 330 | IND | +3.0 | +129 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana | Power Ratings | Indiana 54% odds to win | |
| Purdue | Similar Games | Purdue 55% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND +3.0 | Power Ratings | Indiana wins by 1.0 | |
| PURD -3.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Purdue 54% odds to cover | |
| PURD -3.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Purdue wins by 3.7 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 59.0 | Similar Games | 59% odds to go under 59.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND +127 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 10% different from model | |
| IND +127 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | PURD | adv | IND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 27.8 | 23.9 | |
| Points/Play | 0.388 | 0.348 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -1.2 | -7.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 391.3 | 361.9 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.5 | 5.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.250% | 48.642% | |
| SOS PR | 26.8 | 28.2 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | PURD | adv | IND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 29.1 | 31.0 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.399 | 0.427 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 376.6 | 403.1 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.2 | 5.5 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.0 | 2.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.4 | +0.8 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 41.2 | 50.5 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | PURD | adv | IND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7 | 4-8 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4 | 1-7 | |
| Streak | W1 | L5 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 2-8 | |
| Home | 3-4 | 2-3 | |
| Away | 2-3 | 1-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | PURD | adv | IND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-5-1 | 7-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-4-1 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-1 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 3-2-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||