Game Information
| Week | Week 6 |
| Date | Saturday, October 10, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Metrodome, Minneapolis, MN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 321 | PURD | +3.0 | 51.0 | +136 |
| 322 | MINN | -3.0 | -150 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | Power Ratings | Minnesota 68% odds to win | |
| Minnesota | Similar Games | Minnesota 61% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MINN -3.0 | Power Ratings | Minnesota wins by 6.2 | |
| PURD +3.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Purdue 51% odds to cover | |
| MINN -3.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Minnesota wins by 4.0 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 52.0 | Similar Games | 63% odds to go over 52.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MINN -154 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 8% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | PURD | adv | MINN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 27.8 | 21.3 | |
| Points/Play | 0.388 | 0.328 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -1.2 | -3.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 391.3 | 312.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.5 | 4.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.250% | 47.240% | |
| SOS PR | 26.8 | 28.2 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | PURD | adv | MINN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 29.1 | 24.7 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.399 | 0.341 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 376.6 | 380.8 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.2 | 5.3 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.0 | 2.0 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.4 | -0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 41.2 | 52.7 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | PURD | adv | MINN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7 | 6-6 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | W1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 3-4 | 3-3 | |
| Away | 2-3 | 2-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | PURD | adv | MINN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-5-1 | 5-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-4-1 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-1 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-2-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||