Game Information
| Week | Week 5 |
| Date | Saturday, October 3, 2009 |
| Time | 4:00 PM |
| Location | Doyt L. Perry Stadium, Bowling Green, OH |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 159 | OHIO | +2.5 | 47.5 | +117 |
| 160 | BGRN | -2.5 | -129 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Grn | Power Ratings | Bowling Grn 70% odds to win | |
| Bowling Grn | Similar Games | Bowling Grn 63% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BGRN -2.5 | Power Ratings | Bowling Grn wins by 6.7 | |
| OHIO +2.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Ohio 58% odds to cover | |
| BGRN -2.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Bowling Grn wins by 3.8 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 47.5 | Similar Games | 59% odds to go over 47.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BGRN -138 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 12% different from model | |
| BGRN -138 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 5% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | OHIO | adv | BGRN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 24.5 | 28.5 | |
| Points/Play | 0.386 | 0.376 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +2.4 | +1.0 | |
| Yards/Game | 300.9 | 404.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.7 | 5.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.880% | 52.385% | |
| SOS PR | 18.4 | 15.7 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | OHIO | adv | BGRN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 22.2 | 27.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.304 | 0.406 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 356.0 | 400.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.9 | 5.9 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.7 | 1.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +1.1 | +0.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 56.7 | 49.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | OHIO | adv | BGRN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-4 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 7-2 | 6-2 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 3-2 | 3-3 | |
| Away | 5-3 | 4-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | OHIO | adv | BGRN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-5-0 | 7-5-1 | |
| vs Conference | 7-2-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 4-0-1 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 4-2-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||