Game Information
| Week | Week 13 |
| Date | Saturday, November 28, 2009 |
| Time | 4:30 PM |
| Location | Malone Stadium, Monroe, LA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199 | MTSU | -3.0 | 54.5 | -144 |
| 200 | LAMO | +3.0 | +130 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tenn | Power Ratings | Middle Tenn 74% odds to win | |
| Middle Tenn | Similar Games | Middle Tenn 64% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU -3.0 | Power Ratings | Middle Tenn wins by 8.7 | |
| MTSU -3.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Middle Tenn 52% odds to cover | |
| MTSU -3.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Middle Tenn wins by 4.0 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 54.0 | Similar Games | 56% odds to go over 54.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU -142 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 15% different from model | |
| MTSU -142 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 5% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MTSU | adv | LAMO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 32.0 | 22.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.428 | 0.329 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +8.3 | -7.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 421.7 | 374.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.6 | 5.4 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.084% | 53.647% | |
| SOS PR | 18.2 | 15.2 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MTSU | adv | LAMO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 23.7 | 29.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.311 | 0.415 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 355.3 | 369.8 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.7 | 5.1 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.5 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.9 | -0.8 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 57.3 | 58.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MTSU | adv | LAMO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-3 | 6-6 | |
| vs Conference | 6-1 | 4-3 | |
| Streak | W7 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 5-1 | 3-1 | |
| Away | 5-2 | 2-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MTSU | adv | LAMO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-3-0 | 5-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-1-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| Streak | W7 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 5-1-0 | 2-2-0 | |
| Away | 5-2-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||