Game Information
| Week | Week 10 |
| Date | Saturday, November 7, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Kenan Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 327 | DUKE | +10.0 | 45.0 | +314 |
| 328 | UNC | -10.0 | -360 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| N Carolina | Power Ratings | N Carolina 55% odds to win | |
| N Carolina | Similar Games | N Carolina 76% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE +10.0 | Power Ratings | Duke loses by 1.4 | |
| UNC -10.0 | Similar Games - Odds | N Carolina 54% odds to cover | |
| DUKE +10.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Duke loses by 9.9 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 45.0 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go under 45.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE +330 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 21% different from model | |
| DUKE +330 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | DUKE | adv | UNC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 23.7 | 20.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.331 | 0.313 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -6.5 | +2.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 356.6 | 303.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.0 | 4.6 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.861% | 50.696% | |
| SOS PR | 29.3 | 32.5 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | DUKE | adv | UNC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 30.2 | 18.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.429 | 0.276 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 396.0 | 289.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.6 | 4.3 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | -0.1 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 45.9 | 57.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | DUKE | adv | UNC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7 | 8-4 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5 | 4-4 | |
| Streak | L4 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 1-3 | 3-2 | |
| Away | 3-3 | 3-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | DUKE | adv | UNC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-4-1 | 5-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-3-1 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-4-1 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 1-2-1 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||