Game Information
| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Saturday, November 21, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Orange Bowl, Miami, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 387 | DUKE | +19.0 | 56.5 | +704 |
| 388 | MIFL | -19.0 | -900 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami (FL) | Power Ratings | Miami (FL) 80% odds to win | |
| Miami (FL) | Similar Games | Miami (FL) 87% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE +18.5 | Power Ratings | Duke loses by 12.0 | |
| MIFL -18.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Miami (FL) 54% odds to cover | |
| DUKE +18.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Duke loses by 17.5 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 56.5 | Similar Games | 51% odds to go over 56.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE +704 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 8% different from model | |
| DUKE +704 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 0% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | DUKE | adv | MIFL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 23.7 | 28.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.331 | 0.409 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -6.5 | +6.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 356.6 | 394.1 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.6 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.861% | 50.710% | |
| SOS PR | 29.3 | 32.8 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | DUKE | adv | MIFL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 30.2 | 22.7 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.429 | 0.344 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 396.0 | 335.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.6 | 5.1 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | +0.1 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 45.9 | 56.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | DUKE | adv | MIFL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7 | 9-3 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5 | 5-3 | |
| Streak | L4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 1-3 | 4-1 | |
| Away | 3-3 | 4-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | DUKE | adv | MIFL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-4-1 | 6-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-3-1 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-4-1 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 1-2-1 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||