Game Information
| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Saturday, November 21, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium, Greenville, NC |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 363 | UAB | +14.5 | 56.0 | +534 |
| 364 | ECAR | -14.5 | -650 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| E Carolina | Power Ratings | E Carolina 76% odds to win | |
| E Carolina | Similar Games | E Carolina 73% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UAB +13.5 | Power Ratings | UAB loses by 9.7 | |
| UAB +13.5 | Similar Games - Odds | UAB 51% odds to cover | |
| UAB +13.5 | Similar Games - Pts | UAB loses by 10.9 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 56.0 | Similar Games | 62% odds to go over 56.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UAB +431 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 5% different from model | |
| UAB +431 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 8% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | UAB | adv | ECAR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 27.8 | 26.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.430 | 0.390 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -4.6 | +5.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 425.9 | 373.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.6 | 5.4 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.593% | 52.444% | |
| SOS PR | 22.1 | 29.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | UAB | adv | ECAR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 32.3 | 21.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.443 | 0.302 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 453.3 | 388.5 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.2 | 5.4 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 2.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.8 | +0.9 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 68.7 | 56.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | UAB | adv | ECAR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7 | 9-4 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4 | 8-1 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 3-2 | 4-1 | |
| Away | 2-5 | 4-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | UAB | adv | ECAR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 6-3-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Away | 2-5-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||