Game Information
| Week | Week 10 |
| Date | Saturday, November 7, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Falcon Stadium, Colorado Springs, CO |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 353 | ARMY | +17.0 | 37.5 | +569 |
| 354 | AFA | -17.0 | -700 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | Power Ratings | Air Force 90% odds to win | |
| Air Force | Similar Games | Air Force 89% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| AFA -17.0 | Power Ratings | Air Force wins by 19.7 | |
| ARMY +17.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Army 57% odds to cover | |
| ARMY +17.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Army loses by 14.4 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 37.5 | Similar Games | 64% odds to go over 37.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| AFA -740 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 2% different from model | |
| AFA -740 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ARMY | adv | AFA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 14.7 | 26.2 | |
| Points/Play | 0.231 | 0.348 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -7.6 | +9.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 267.6 | 354.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.2 | 4.7 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.341% | 54.806% | |
| SOS PR | 19.3 | 28.9 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ARMY | adv | AFA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 22.4 | 17.0 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.358 | 0.269 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 301.4 | 299.8 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.8 | 4.8 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.0 | 2.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.6 | +1.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 44.3 | 44.6 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ARMY | adv | AFA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 0-1 | 5-3 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 2-3 | 4-1 | |
| Away | 2-4 | 3-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ARMY | adv | AFA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-7-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 1-0-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||