Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Saturday, September 26, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, IA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 333 | ARMY | +10.5 | 46.5 | +354 |
| 334 | IAST | -10.5 | -410 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State | Power Ratings | Iowa State 67% odds to win | |
| Iowa State | Similar Games | Iowa State 63% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARMY +10.0 | Power Ratings | Army loses by 5.7 | |
| IAST -10.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Iowa State 50% odds to cover | |
| ARMY +10.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Army loses by 9.0 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 46.5 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go over 46.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARMY +326 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 9% different from model | |
| ARMY +326 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 13% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ARMY | adv | IAST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 14.7 | 19.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.231 | 0.277 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -7.6 | -2.8 | |
| Yards/Game | 267.6 | 358.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.2 | 5.1 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.341% | 47.361% | |
| SOS PR | 19.3 | 24.9 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ARMY | adv | IAST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 22.4 | 22.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.358 | 0.305 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 301.4 | 418.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.8 | 5.7 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.0 | 2.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.6 | +0.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 44.3 | 53.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ARMY | adv | IAST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7 | 6-6 | |
| vs Conference | 0-1 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Away | 2-4 | 3-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ARMY | adv | IAST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-7-0 | 8-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 1-0-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||