Game Information
| Week | Week 5 |
| Date | Saturday, October 3, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Sun Devil Stadium, Tempe, AZ |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 167 | ORST | +5.0 | 45.5 | +174 |
| 168 | ASU | -5.0 | -194 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona St | Power Ratings | Arizona St 81% odds to win | |
| Arizona St | Similar Games | Arizona St 54% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASU -5.5 | Power Ratings | Arizona St wins by 12.9 | |
| ORST +5.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Oregon St 59% odds to cover | |
| ORST +5.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Oregon St loses by 4.4 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 45.0 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go over 45.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASU -208 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 14% different from model | |
| ORST +186 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 12% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ORST | adv | ASU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 31.2 | 19.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.423 | 0.288 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.8 | -2.9 | |
| Yards/Game | 408.8 | 327.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.5 | 4.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.454% | 50.501% | |
| SOS PR | 30.7 | 27.2 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ORST | adv | ASU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 26.5 | 22.7 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.405 | 0.345 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 349.9 | 321.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.3 | 4.9 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.2 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.3 | -0.6 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 61.6 | 86.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ORST | adv | ASU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4 | 4-8 | |
| vs Conference | 6-3 | 2-7 | |
| Streak | L2 | L6 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 2-8 | |
| Home | 3-2 | 2-4 | |
| Away | 4-3 | 1-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ORST | adv | ASU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5-0 | 6-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-2-0 | 4-5-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 2-3-0 | 5-1-0 | |
| Away | 5-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||