Game Information
| Week | Week 7 |
| Date | Saturday, October 17, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, IA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125 | BAY | +2.5 | 52.5 | +126 |
| 126 | IAST | -2.5 | -139 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State | Power Ratings | Iowa State 57% odds to win | |
| Iowa State | Similar Games | Iowa State 55% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IAST -1.5 | Power Ratings | Iowa State wins by 1.8 | |
| BAY +1.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Baylor 50% odds to cover | |
| BAY +1.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Baylor wins by 0.5 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 53.0 | Similar Games | 53% odds to go over 53.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IAST -120 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 2% different from model | |
| IAST -120 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | BAY | adv | IAST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 16.5 | 19.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.241 | 0.277 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -12.1 | -2.8 | |
| Yards/Game | 322.5 | 358.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.7 | 5.1 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 46.631% | 47.361% | |
| SOS PR | 30.3 | 24.9 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | BAY | adv | IAST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 28.5 | 22.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.371 | 0.305 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 419.9 | 418.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.5 | 5.7 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.3 | 2.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.7 | +0.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 67.0 | 53.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | BAY | adv | IAST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8 | 6-6 | |
| vs Conference | 1-7 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | L3 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 1-4 | 3-2 | |
| Away | 2-4 | 3-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | BAY | adv | IAST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-6-0 | 8-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||