| Week | Week 14 |
| Date | Saturday, December 5, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA |
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 323 | CIN | -1.5 | 55.5 | +105 |
| 324 | PITT | +1.5 | -116 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | Power Ratings | Cincinnati 51% odds to win | |
| Cincinnati | Similar Games | Cincinnati 54% odds to win |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PITT +2.0 | Power Ratings | Pittsburgh loses by 0.4 | |
| CIN -2.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Cincinnati 53% odds to cover | |
| CIN -2.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Cincinnati wins by 2.8 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 58.0 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go over 58.0 points |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PITT +113 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
| Stat | CIN | adv | PITT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 36.0 | 31.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.561 | 0.489 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +11.2 | +10.4 | |
| Yards/Game | 436.6 | 391.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.8 | 6.1 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 42.311% | 52.115% | |
| SOS PR | 34.0 | 31.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Stat | CIN | adv | PITT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 24.8 | 21.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.326 | 0.309 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 390.5 | 332.7 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.1 | 4.9 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.2 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.4 | +0.8 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 45.8 | 50.9 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Record | CIN | adv | PITT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-0 | 9-3 | |
| vs Conference | 7-0 | 5-2 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 9-1 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 5-0 | 5-1 | |
| Away | 6-1 | 4-2 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
| Record | CIN | adv | PITT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7-0 | 8-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-3-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| Streak | L5 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 1-4-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||