Game Information
| Week | Week 7 |
| Date | Thursday, October 15, 2009 |
| Time | 7:30 PM |
| Location | Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105 | CIN | -1.0 | 48.5 | -110 |
| 106 | USF | +1.0 | +100 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | Power Ratings | Cincinnati 57% odds to win | |
| S Florida | Similar Games | S Florida 53% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN -1.5 | Power Ratings | Cincinnati wins by 2.1 | |
| USF +1.5 | Similar Games - Odds | S Florida 53% odds to cover | |
| CIN -1.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Cincinnati wins by 2.0 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 48.5 | Similar Games | 57% odds to go over 48.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN -116 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 4% different from model | |
| USF +105 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 4% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | CIN | adv | USF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 36.0 | 22.3 | |
| Points/Play | 0.561 | 0.345 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +11.2 | -0.5 | |
| Yards/Game | 436.6 | 349.7 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.8 | 5.4 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 42.311% | 49.492% | |
| SOS PR | 34.0 | 28.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | CIN | adv | USF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 24.8 | 22.7 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.326 | 0.333 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 390.5 | 344.0 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.1 | 5.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.2 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.4 | -0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 45.8 | 56.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | CIN | adv | USF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-0 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 7-0 | 3-4 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 9-1 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 5-0 | 2-2 | |
| Away | 6-1 | 4-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | CIN | adv | USF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7-0 | 5-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-3-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| Streak | L5 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 1-4-0 | 1-3-0 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||