| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Saturday, November 21, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Ryan Field, Evanston, IL |
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 321 | WISC | -7.0 | 48.5 | -275 |
| 322 | NWST | +7.0 | +244 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin | Power Ratings | Wisconsin 62% odds to win | |
| Northwestrn | Similar Games | Northwestrn 50% odds to win |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NWST +7.0 | Power Ratings | Northwestrn loses by 3.6 | |
| NWST +7.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Northwestrn 58% odds to cover | |
| NWST +7.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Northwestrn loses by 3.4 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 47.5 | Similar Games | 51% odds to go over 47.5 points |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NWST +244 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 9% different from model | |
| NWST +244 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 21% different from model |
| Stat | WISC | adv | NWST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 30.8 | 24.2 | |
| Points/Play | 0.419 | 0.293 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +8.3 | -1.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 415.8 | 397.3 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.7 | 4.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 57.702% | 51.861% | |
| SOS PR | 30.1 | 30.5 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Stat | WISC | adv | NWST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 22.4 | 25.3 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.356 | 0.374 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 309.6 | 362.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.9 | 5.4 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.9 | 2.3 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 46.1 | 44.9 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Record | WISC | adv | NWST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-3 | 8-4 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3 | 5-3 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 5-1 | 4-2 | |
| Away | 4-2 | 3-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
| Record | WISC | adv | NWST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6-0 | 6-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 1-5-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 5-1-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||