Game Information
| Week | Week 5 |
| Date | Saturday, October 3, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Metrodome, Minneapolis, MN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | WISC | +2.5 | 51.5 | +121 |
| 118 | MINN | -2.5 | -134 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin | Power Ratings | Wisconsin 85% odds to win | |
| Minnesota | Similar Games | Minnesota 51% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| WISC +3.0 | Power Ratings | Wisconsin wins by 15.3 | |
| MINN -3.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Minnesota 58% odds to cover | |
| WISC +3.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Wisconsin wins by 1.6 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 53.0 | Similar Games | 51% odds to go under 53.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| WISC +129 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 41% different from model | |
| WISC +129 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 5% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | WISC | adv | MINN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 30.8 | 21.3 | |
| Points/Play | 0.419 | 0.328 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +8.3 | -3.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 415.8 | 312.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.7 | 4.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 57.702% | 47.240% | |
| SOS PR | 30.1 | 28.2 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | WISC | adv | MINN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 22.4 | 24.7 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.356 | 0.341 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 309.6 | 380.8 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.9 | 5.3 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.9 | 2.0 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | -0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 46.1 | 52.7 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | WISC | adv | MINN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-3 | 6-6 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | W2 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 5-1 | 3-3 | |
| Away | 4-2 | 2-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | WISC | adv | MINN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||