Game Information
| Week | Week 8 |
| Date | Saturday, October 24, 2009 |
| Time | 4:00 PM |
| Location | Hughes Stadium, Fort Collins, CO |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 361 | SDST | +8.5 | 50.5 | +264 |
| 362 | COST | -8.5 | -300 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado St | Power Ratings | Colorado St 80% odds to win | |
| Colorado St | Similar Games | Colorado St 67% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| COST -7.5 | Power Ratings | Colorado St wins by 12.1 | |
| COST -7.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Colorado St 51% odds to cover | |
| SDST +7.5 | Similar Games - Pts | San Diego St loses by 6.8 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 50.5 | Similar Games | 58% odds to go over 50.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| COST -290 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 6% different from model | |
| SDST +256 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 5% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | SDST | adv | COST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.3 | 21.5 | |
| Points/Play | 0.338 | 0.331 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -9.3 | -9.0 | |
| Yards/Game | 333.4 | 354.9 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.1 | 5.5 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 45.788% | 50.981% | |
| SOS PR | 23.3 | 22.4 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | SDST | adv | COST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 31.5 | 30.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.429 | 0.444 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 391.4 | 394.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.3 | 5.7 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.1 | 1.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -1.0 | -0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 44.5 | 48.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | SDST | adv | COST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8 | 3-9 | |
| vs Conference | 2-6 | 0-8 | |
| Streak | L4 | L9 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 1-9 | |
| Home | 2-3 | 1-4 | |
| Away | 1-5 | 1-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | SDST | adv | COST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-7-0 | 4-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 2-6-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L6 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 0-5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||