Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Saturday, September 26, 2009 |
| Time | 2:00 PM |
| Location | Falcon Stadium, Colorado Springs, CO |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 341 | SDST | +17.5 | 52.5 | +620 |
| 342 | AFA | -17.5 | -774 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | Power Ratings | Air Force 79% odds to win | |
| Air Force | Similar Games | Air Force 85% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDST +17.5 | Power Ratings | San Diego St loses by 11.4 | |
| AFA -17.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Air Force 58% odds to cover | |
| SDST +17.5 | Similar Games - Pts | San Diego St loses by 16.7 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 52.5 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go over 52.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDST +655 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 8% different from model | |
| SDST +655 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | SDST | adv | AFA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.3 | 26.2 | |
| Points/Play | 0.338 | 0.348 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -9.3 | +9.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 333.4 | 354.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.1 | 4.7 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 45.788% | 54.806% | |
| SOS PR | 23.3 | 28.9 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | SDST | adv | AFA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 31.5 | 17.0 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.429 | 0.269 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 391.4 | 299.8 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.3 | 4.8 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.1 | 2.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -1.0 | +1.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 44.5 | 44.6 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | SDST | adv | AFA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 2-6 | 5-3 | |
| Streak | L4 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 2-3 | 4-1 | |
| Away | 1-5 | 3-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | SDST | adv | AFA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-7-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||